Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Pigs getting in the way... again

Just as the markets were absorbing and had partially digested credit crunch and the recession and beginning to kick-on, up pops some flu to spoil the party. That combined with the upcoming US bank stress test releases (scheduled for Monday), almost certainly means stepping aside with the cash handy to re-enter asap.

It seems to me that the greater the pressure to feed the growing world population, the greater are the dangers of unseen side-effects of mass production means applied. Animal feed and rearing seems to a particularly dangerous source of manner of diseases.
SARS gave us 0.6% global economy downturn, will get the same from swine? I don't think so, but its spread (which by the way has not been proven in every case), suggests it will be a close call.

PS: Btw, another one in the eye for Tim G. Some of the stress tests have already been leaked. Inevitably its the lousy ones that have found their way to the press. Citi and BoA (poetic justice as it bought the wrong i bank), are the two big fishes without enough water. And surprisingly Wells Fargo,  WB's favourite bank of yrs gone by. Market reaction in states was understated and more so in the UK. Only the swine flu is causing jitters...

2 comments:

Ssembonge said...

I think stocks are over-valued. I'm waiting for another correction.

MainaT said...

Maybe on Wall St. There might be a flattening of the recovery curve (maybe 10% correction), but we touched the lows in Jan/Feb and we are not going back there.
Even if UK has to go to IMF...