- Retail investors:- despite a drop in inflation, its unlikely that it'll go below double figures before 2012. That means that in real terms, a retail investor will be making a loss from investing a Ksh100k of his in the bond. Although its unusual in Kenya, you may not be able to get the full principal in the first 2 years. It'll be 2017 before you double your money.
- High net worthy: If you have Ksh5m and the risk-aversion of a typical elderly investor, then the 12% is sound return. However, NSe shares pay over 10% in dividend alone.
- Money market fund managers: will love this bond because it make them very competitive against savings accounts.
- KenGen shareholders: interest payment of just over a Ksh1bn will hit the P&L every year. In the first few years, there will be no concomitant revenue from the project to offset this. Something to ponder?
- Electricity consumers: should hopefully see fewer rationing episodes.
The bond offer closes tomorrow.
6 comments:
Maina, you left out the shareholders.
re shareholders: i recall kainvestor said shareholder dividends will dry up
Fellas- I've increased the font size on the post
Maina, the NSE is offering stocks at such low multiples of their earnings that I would recommend people to invest there instead, both for dividend growth and capital gains. Jubilee for example is selling at 7 times its earnings.
Maina, on another note, I have just finished a new article on www.futurecapitalkenya.blogspot.com its about the failure of vision 2030, its bound to cause sparks so kindly read and comment... thanks
Samora- that is very true re the NSE. I think the issue for them is the time horizons are getting shorter and shorter for making serious returns pre-2012
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